Do We Look At The Markets The Right Way?
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I have heard people refer to the market being “overbought” or “oversold” for as long as I have been a student of the markets. To be sure, only one of the two terms has any credibility and that is oversold. There is one case for this, and that is when the market is trading at zero. Undeniably that would be an oversold market! That can be contrasted when we consider the term overbought, because in reality the sky is the limit for how high any given stock could potentially rise. So this case can never really occur. That should show you why there is no way a market can be truly overbought. A lot of types of stock platforms try to tell you the opposite.
I suppose people mean some kind of relative term when they speak in this way. In this manner, “overbought” translates to the market is high (higher than it was before). Conversely when they say oversold, they mean that the market is lower than before and they think the market will go higher. That is the reasoning why I find the need to insist that I and others why agree to start using a more appropriate terminology. This is really quite exciting. A revolutionary new concept. From now on I will advocate the use of the words almost to the opposite of the current lexicon being “underbought” and “undersold”. They get tossed around a fair bit places like eminiforecaster.
What is it to be “Underbought”? All that this means is that the market has not gone up as much as it will in the future. Alternatively “undersold” means that the market has not gone down as much as it will in the future. It’s easy to see when you think about it how theses terms can replace and be a more appropriate alternative to “overbought” and “oversold”.
My goal is to move people away from looking back at the past to display where markets will go in the future. Let the past be in the past and let’s look at the future when considering things like this. In my experience the best traders are the ones that look at the value of a company now, and where it will be in the future as opposed to lamenting the past. They look for where the trend of the market is heading. They are forward looking investors.
